NEW COUNTRIES -PART 2

 

                                                    INTRODUCTION





This list shows the possibility of some INDEPENDENT countries to join or to be

annexated into another country.

It shows a short term possibility (up to 10 years) and a long term possibility (in the future).

The long term possibility includes the short term one: it means it is the

combination of the st% and the lt%, so the lt% is always at least as high as the st%.

Keep in mind this is my point of view. It is result of my study of these countries.

The rank does NOT reflect in any way any preference or bias of the editor

toward the status of the country.

There are five ways for a country to disappear in the future:

1-to join another country and make a union with it under the same conditions,

in most of the cases with a new country name.

The most famous and last case of it was the reunification of Germany.

2-to be integrated (or annexated) into another country. In this case the

country which is disappearing becomes a province, or region or autonomous territory

of the country which has integrated it.

In most of the cases, the country which integrated the other one mantains its original name.

The were many cases of it just after the second world war and the colonial era.

3-to be split into new independent countries.

4-to be conquered by another country. The last attempt was the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait.

The last successfull case was the invasion of East Timor (which has just recovered

its independence) by Indonesia.

5-to disappear for natural causes, like the raise of the level of the ocean or

another natural disaster.



This page is based on political studies and only includes the first two cases.

For the independence movements, which could lead to the third case,

you can see their chances of independence in the main New Countries list.

Since I guess (and hope) that international community will not allow anymore an

invasion of a sovereign country, i will not include in this document the possibility

of the disappearance of a country caused by the invasion of another country.



In the list you will find the name of the country which can disappear,

the name of the country which will be unified to or integrated into,

the short term possibilities, the long term possibilities and a letter

which represents the case of a possible unification (U) or an integration (A for annexation).