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                                 MAXIMILIANO HERRERA HUMAN RIGHTS LINKS

Maximiliano Herrera's Human Rights Site
The Home Page
Electoral Calendar
It is an electoral calendar that includes general, presidential, legislative, gubernatorial, regional, municipal, local council  elections, referenda and party conventions dates. Updated weekly.
Electoral Democracies
It ranks all the independent countries in three categories: Electoral Democracy, Pseudo Democracy and Dictatorship according to their electoral system. It also includes a list of the countries without elections.
Freedom in the World
It ranks all the independent countries according to their political freedoms and civil rights.

It also includes the website Freedom in the Territories which shows the same ranking for the related territories and non-independent regions.

World Rank
It contains a list of all independent countries in the world ranked according to
their HDI (Human Development Index) or living standard.
It means incomes, political situation, health system, social situation,etc....

The site also includes a link to World Rank in the Territories which includes the same statistics of living standard in the related non-independent territories.

A World in Trouble
This site shows the perception of the risk of a coup or a new conflict for every independent country. This perception is ranked in: HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW, VERY LOW and NONE.
 
Extreme Temperatures Around the World
This site has also been created by Maximiliano Herrera. It contains the extreme temperatures recorded in hundreds of different localities around the world.
RELATED LINKS

The Constitution: some links to separatist movements sites

New Country Project contains a list of small territories with some
independentist projects.


List of active autonomist and secessionist movements is a Wikipedia 
document with links.



                                                 INTRODUCTION


New Countries shows the possibility of some territories being
converted into independent countries.
It shows a short term possibility to become independent
(up to 10 years) and a long term possibility (in the future).
The long term possibility includes the short term one:  it means
it is the combination of the st% and the lt%, so the lt% is always at 
least as high as the st%.
Keep in mind this is my point of view. It is the result of my
study of these territories.
The rank does NOT reflect in any way any preference or bias of the
editor toward the status of the territory.

You can also see the list of the countries which
can join or be integrated into another country.
As this site, it shows the short st% and the lt% of some countries to
disappear in the future.
To see the statistics CLICK HERE

    Last update 21/05/09:
  • Mayotte (France): The referendum result shows a willing of people of Mayotte of closer ties to France.
  • South Yemen: Separatism feelings and violence seem to come out again after almost two decades.
  • Tamil Region (Sri Lanka): The military defeat of the separatist guerrilla eclipses the chances of a short term independence.
  • Abkhazia and South Ossetia (Georgia): The last clashes, invasion by Russia and recognition of independence by Russian government is keeping even more far away these territories from Georgia. It seems less and less likely these territories will come back to Georgian effective control.
  • Srpska Republic (Bosnia and Herzegovina): It is more likely that this republic will not be part of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the mid- term.
  • Los Llanos (Bolivia) is a project, which includes the provinces of Santa Cruz, Tarija, Beni and Pando, to seek autonomy and possibly independence from Bolivia.

ST%=Short Term Possibilities LT%=Long Term Possibilities


  


TERRITORY       CURRENT SOVEREIGNTY   ST%   LT%
 
 
PALESTINE \       ISRAEL               55 -  95
NORTHERN CYPRUS   CYPRUS               30 -  45 
KOSOVO *          SERBIA/UNITED NATION 95    98 
VOJVODINA         SERBIA                2 -  15 -
SRPSKA REPUBLIC / BOSNIA AND HERZEGOV. 35 +  40 +
BRCKO             BOSNIA AND HERZEGOV.  1     2
NORTHERN EPIRUS   ALBANIA               1 -   5 - 
ILLYRIA REPUBLIC  ALBANIA/MACEDONIA     1 -   2 -
ISTRIA            CROATIA               1    15
DALMATIA          CROATIA               1    10
KRAJINA           CROATIA               1    10
SZEKLER (EAST TR.)ROMANIA               1    15
SUDETENLAND       CZECH REPUBLIC        1     2
MORAVIA/SILESIA   CZECH REPUBLIC        1     2
RUSYN             SLOVAKIA              1     2
KASHUBIA          POLAND                1     1
SLASKA            POLAND                1     1
LIVONIA           LATVIA                1     2
SAMILAND/LAPPLAND NOR.-SWED.-RUS.-FIN.  1     2
SVALBARD          NORWAY                1     5
SCANIA            SWEDEN                1     1
ALAND @           FINLAND               1    10 
FAEROE ISLANDS    DENMARK               2    30 +
GREENLAND         DENMARK              30 +  55 +
BORNHOLM ISLAND   DENMARK               1     2
BAVARIA           GERMANY               1     2
CHAGOS ISLANDS    UNITED KINGDOM       10 +  45 +
SAINT HELENA      UNITED KINGDOM        2    10
ANGUILLA          UNITED KINGDOM        2    35
MONTSERRAT        UNITED KINGDOM        2    25
BERMUDA           UNITED KINGDOM        2    35
VIRGIN ISLANDS    UNITED KINGDOM        2    30
CAYMAN ISLANDS    UNITED KINGDOM        2    30
TURKS AND CAICOS**UNITED KINGDOM        5 +  40 +
ISLE OF MAN       UNITED KINGDOM        2    30
CHANNEL ISLANDS   UNITED KINGDOM        2    30
WALES             UNITED KINGDOM        2    25
SCOTLAND          UNITED KINGDOM        5    30
NORTHERN IRELAND  UNITED KINGDOM       10    40 + 
ORKNEY            UNITED KINGDOM        1     5
CORNWALL          UNITED KINGDOM        1     5
GIBRALTAR ***     UNITED KINGDOM        5    30
FALKLAND ISL.**** UNITED KINGDOM        1    15
ARUBA             NETHERLANDS           5    35
CURACAO           NETHERLANDS           5    35
SINT MARTEEN      NETHERLANDS           5    30
SINT EUSTATIUS    NETHERLANDS           2    20
BONAIRE           NETHERLANDS           2    15
SABA              NETHERLANDS           2    15
FRYSLAN           NETHERLANDS           1     5
MARTINIQUE        FRANCE                5    40
GUADELOUPE        FRANCE                5    40
SAINT BARTHELEMY ~FRANCE                2    25
SAINT MARTIN ~    FRANCE                2    25
FRENCH GUIANA     FRANCE                5    40
NEW CALEDONIA     FRANCE               35 +  65 +
FRENCH POLYNESIA  FRANCE               25    50 +
MARQUESAS ISL.    FRANCE                5    30
WALLIS AND FUTUNA FRANCE               10 +  50 +
ST PIERRE AND MIQ.FRANCE                1    20
REUNION           FRANCE                5    30
MAYOTTE *****     FRANCE                2 -  30    
BRITTANY          FRANCE                1     5
CORSICA           FRANCE                1    10
ALSACE-LORRAINE   FRANCE/GERMANY        1     5
SAVOIE            FRANCE                1     5
OCCITANIA         FRANCE                1     2
BASQUE REGION     SPAIN/FRANCE          2    35  
NAVARRA ******    SPAIN                 1     5
CATALONIA         SPAIN                 2    35 
GALICIA           SPAIN                 1    10 
CANARY ISLANDS    SPAIN                 1    10 
ANDALUCIA         SPAIN                 1     5
VALENCIA ******   SPAIN                 1     5 
CHUNTA ARAGON     SPAIN                 1     1
ASTURIAS          SPAIN                 1     1
LEON              SPAIN                 1     1
BALEARES ******   SPAIN                 1     5
AZORES            PORTUGAL              1     5
MADEIRA           PORTUGAL              1    10
ROMANDIE          SWITZERLAND           1     1
PADANIA           ITALY                 1     2
SARDINIA          ITALY                 1     5
SICILY            ITALY                 1     5
AUSONIA           ITALY                 1     1
AOSTA VALLEY      ITALY                 1     5
SOUTH TYROL       ITALY                 1     5
LOMBARDIA         ITALY                 1     1
FRIULI-VENETO     ITALY                 1     1
CAMPIONE -        ITALY                 1     5
LIGURIA           ITALY                 1     1
GREEK MACEDONIA   GREECE                1     5
CRETE             GREECE                1     1
TRANSNISTRIA #    MOLDOVA              30    40 -
GAGAUZ YERI       MOLDOVA               2 -  10 
CRIMEA  #         UKRAINE              10    35
DONETSK #         UKRAINE              10    35
CHECHNYA          RUSSIA               10 -  55
DAGESTAN          RUSSIA                5    40
TATARSTAN         RUSSIA                5    40 +
BASHKORTOSTAN     RUSSIA                2    20 +
KALININGRAD       RUSSIA                2    35
INGUSHETIA        RUSSIA                5    35 +
BALKARIA REP.     RUSSIA                2    15
KABARDIN REP.     RUSSIA                2    15
KARACHAI REP.     RUSSIA                2    15
CHERKESSIA REP.   RUSSIA                2    15
NORTHERN OSSETIA  RUSSIA                2    20 +
ADYGEYA           RUSSIA                2    15
STAVROPOL         RUSSIA                1    10
EASTERN SIBERIA   RUSSIA                2    30
TUVA REPUBLIC     RUSSIA                1    10
MARY EL           RUSSIA                2    20
YAKUTIA           RUSSIA                1    20
CHUKOTKA          RUSSIA                1    20
SAKHALIN          RUSSIA                1    20
PRIMOSKI          RUSSIA                1    20
KAMCHATKA         RUSSIA                1    15
MAGADAN           RUSSIA                1    15
NAGORNO KARABAKH  AZERBAIJAN           40    50 
NAKHICHEVAN       AZERBAIJAN           10    35 
TALYSH-MUGHAN     AZERBAIJAN            1     5
LEZGISTAN         AZERBAIJAN/RUSSIA     1     2
ABKHAZIA #        GEORGIA              40 +  55 +
SOUTH OSSETIA #   GEORGIA              35 +  55 +
ADZHARIA          GEORGIA               5    25
MINGRELIA         GEORGIA               1    10
SOUTH. AZERBAIJAN IRAN                  1    20
WEST AZERBAIJAN   IRAN                  1    15
KHUZESTAN         IRAN                  1    15
SISTAN-BALUCHISTAN IRAN                 1    15
GORNO BADAKHSAN   TAJIKISTAN            2    25
KARAKALPAKSTAN    UZBEKISTAN            2    25
KURDISTAN         IRAQ-TURKEY-SYRIA-IRAN5    45 
JABAL AD DURUZ    SYRIA                 1     5
MOUNT LEBANON     LEBANON               1    15
IRAQI KURDISTAN   IRAQ                 25 -  50 
SHIIS STATE       IRAQ                 20    40
ASSYRIA           IRAQ                  1    10
HAWAR ISLANDS     BAHRAIN               1     5
DUBAI             UNITED ARAB EMIRATES  1    15
SHARJAH           UNITED ARAB EMIRATES  1    25
MUSCAT            OMAN                  1    15
SOUTH YEMEN       YEMEN                 2    30 +
SOCOTRA           YEMEN                 2    20
OKINAWA-RYUKUS IS.JAPAN                 1    10
HOKKAIDO          JAPAN                 1     2
AINU REPUBLIC     JAPAN                 1     1
CHEJU-DO          SOUTH KOREA           1     2
TAMIL STATE       SRI LANKA             2 -  20
HAZARAJAT         AFGHANISTAN           2    15
KANDAHAR          AFGHANISTAN           2    15
NANGAHAR          AFGHANISTAN           1    10
HERAT             AFGHANISTAN           1    15
PASHTOONISTAN     AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN  2    25
BALOCHISTAN       PAKISTAN              5    30
SINDH             PAKISTAN              5    25
BALAWARISTAN      PAKISTAN              5    30
HUNZA-BROOSHAL    PAKISTAN              5    25
WAZIRISTAN        PAKISTAN              5    25
JINNAHPUR         PAKISTAN              1     2 
KASHMIR           INDIA-PAKISTAN        5    35
ASSAM ^           INDIA                 2    25
SIKKIM *******    INDIA                 2    20 -
NAGALAND ^        INDIA                 2 -  20 -
MEGHALAYA ^       INDIA                 1    15
MANIPUR ^         INDIA                 2    20
PUNJAB            INDIA                 2    10
KHALISTAN (SIKH)  INDIA                 2    10 
TAMIL NADU        INDIA                 2    10
TRIPURA ^         INDIA                 2 -  10
ARUNACHAL PRADESH INDIA                 1    10
WEST BENGAL ^     INDIA                 1    10
KERALA            INDIA                 1    10
ANDAMAN-NICOBAR I.INDIA                 1    20
LAKSHADWEEP ISL.  INDIA                 1    10
BODOLAND          INDIA                 1     5
ZOGAM             INDIA/BANGL./MYANMAR  1     5
BANGABHUMI        BANGLADESH            2    20
CHAKMA(CHIT.HILLS)BANGLADESH            5    20
SUVADIVES         MALDIVES              1    15
MAHADHESI (TERAI) NEPAL                 2 +  15 +
TAIWAN ********   CHINA                 2    50
TIBET             CHINA                 2    40
XINJIANG (UIGHUR) CHINA                 2    40
INNER MONGOLIA    CHINA                 2    20
MANCHURIA         CHINA                 1    10
GUANGXI           CHINA                 1    10
HONG KONG         CHINA                 1    20
MACAO             CHINA                 1    15
LADAKH            CHINA-PAKISTAN        1     5
HMONG STATE       LAOS-THAILAND-VIETNAM 1     5
SOUTH VIETNAM     VIETNAM               1     2
KAMPUCHEA KROM    VIETNAM               1     1
KAYIN (KAREN)STATEMYANMAR               5    25
MON STATE         MYANMAR               2    10
SHAN STATE        MYANMAR               5    35  
WA STATE          MYANMAR               5 -  30 -
CHIN STATE        MYANMAR               5    25
KACHIN STATE      MYANMAR               5    25
RAKHINE STATE     MYANMAR               5    20
ARAKAN STATE      MYANMAR               2    15
PANGWAUM          MYANMAR               1    10
NAMPAN            MYANMAR               1    10
SOUTH MUSLIM THAI.THAILAND              1    15
SARAWAK           MALAYSIA              1    25
SABAH             MALAYSIA              1    25
MINDANAO          PHILIPPINES           5    35
CORDILLERA        PHILIPPINES           1    15
ACEH              INDONESIA             5 -  40 -
WEST PAPUA        INDONESIA            20 -  50 
WEST TIMOR        INDONESIA             5    25
RIAU              INDONESIA             1    15
AMBON (SO.MALUKU) INDONESIA             5    25
EAST KALIMANTAN   INDONESIA             5    20
SULAWESI          INDONESIA             5    20
BOUGAINVILLE      PAPUA NEW GUINEA     35 +  60 +
MILNE BAY         PAPUA NEW GUINEA      2 +  15 +
HELA              PAPUA NEW GUINEA      5 +  25 +
BISMARK ISLANDS   PAPUA NEW GUINEA      1    15
MALAITA           SOLOMON ISLANDS      15    35  
RENNELL & BELLONA SOLOMON ISLANDS       5    20
OTONG JAVA        SOLOMON ISLANDS       5    25
ROTUMA ISLAND     FIJI                  2    25
POHNPEI           MICRONESIA            2    25
YAP ISLANDS       MICRONESIA            2    20
TRUK ISLANDS      MICRONESIA            2    20
HALL ISLANDS      MICRONESIA            2    20
E.SANTO (VEMERANA)VANUATU               2    25
MALAKULA          VANUATU               2    20
TANNA (TAFEA)     VANUATU               2    20
BANABA            KIRIBATI              2    20
PHOENIX ISLANDS   KIRIBATI              2    20
EASTERN ISLANDS   KIRIBATI              2    20
RALIK ISLANDS     MARSHALL ISLANDS      1    15
CHRISTMAS ISLAND  AUSTRALIA             1    10
NORFOLK ISLAND    AUSTRALIA             1    15
COCOS ISLAND      AUSTRALIA             1     5
WESTERN AUSTRALIA AUSTRALIA             1     1
TORRES STRAIT IS. AUSTRALIA             1     1
SNAKE HILL        AUSTRALIA             1     1
NIUE              NEW ZEALAND           1    10
COOK ISLANDS      NEW ZEALAND           2    40
TOKELAU           NEW ZEALAND          10 -  45
CHATAM ISLANDS    NEW ZEALAND           1     2
QUEBEC            CANADA               30    45
NEWFOUNDLAND      CANADA                1     5
ALBERTA           CANADA                1     5 
WESTERN CANADA    CANADA                1     5
BRITISH COLUMBIA  CANADA                1     5
CAPE BRETON ISL.  CANADA                1     2
PUERTO RICO       UNITED STATES        10    40
NORTHERN MARIANAS UNITED STATES        15 -  50
US SAMOA *********UNITED STATES        10    40
GUAM              UNITED STATES         5    40
VIRGIN ISLANDS    UNITED STATES         1    25
TEXAS             UNITED STATES         1     2
CALIFORNIA        UNITED STATES         1     2
NEW MEXICO        UNITED STATES         1     2
ARIZONA           UNITED STATES         1     2
FLORIDA           UNITED STATES         1     2
HAWAII            UNITED STATES         1     5
ALASKA            UNITED STATES         1    15
VERMONT           UNITED STATES         1     1
MINNESOTA         UNITED STATES         1     1
NEW ENGLAND       UNITED STATES         1     1
SOUTHERN STATES   UNITED STATES         1     2
SIOUX LAKOTA      UNITED STATES         1     2
LONG ISLAND       UNITED STATES         1     1
RIO GRANDE-N.LEON:MEXICO                1    10
CHIAPAS           MEXICO                1    15
YUCATAN           MEXICO                1    10
SOUTHERN STATES : MEXICO                1     5
BAJA CALIFORNIA : MEXICO                1    10
ATLANTIC REGIONS  NICAGARUA             1    15
GUANACASTE        COSTA RICA            1     5
ARTIBONITE        HAITI                 1     2
BARBUDA           ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA   1    10
GRENADINES        ST VINCENT AND THE GR.1    15
NEVIS             ST KITTS AND NEVIS   20 -  50
TOBAGO            TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO   1    15
SAINT ANDRES      COLOMBIA              1    15
ZULIA             VENEZUELA             1     2
SOUTHERN BRAZIL   BRAZIL                1    15
SAO PAULO STATE   BRAZIL                1     5
NORTHEAST BRAZIL  BRAZIL                1     2
COAST REGION      ECUADOR               2    25 
LORETO            PERU                  1     5
ANDINE REGIONS    PERU                  5    20 
LOS LLANOS        BOLIVIA              15 +  30 +
SANTA CRUZ        BOLIVIA              20    35 +
TARIJA            BOLIVIA              10 +  20 +
BENI              BOLIVIA               2 +  15
PANDO             BOLIVIA               2 +  15
EASTER ISLAND     CHILE                 5    30 +
MAPUCHE NATION    CHILE                 1     1
PATAGONIA         ARGENTINA             1     5
WESTERN SAHARA    MOROCCO              40 -  75
KABYLIA(BERBER)   ALGERIA               1    10
KIDAL (TUAREG)    MALI                  1    10
CASAMANCE         SENEGAL               5 -  35
ZANZIBAR          TANZANIA             10    45 
PEMBA             TANZANIA             10    35 
SOMALILAND        SOMALIA              50    65
PUNTLAND          SOMALIA              25 -  40 -
SOUTHWEST.SOMALIA SOMALIA              10 -  20 -
MAAKHIR           SOMALIA               5    15
OROMO STATE       ETHIOPIA              1    25
TIGRAY STATE      ETHIOPIA              1    25
GAMBELLA          ETHIOPIA              2    20 +
OGADEN REGION     ETHIOPIA              2    20 +
NORTH EASTERN FR. KENYA                 1    10
COAST PROVINCE    KENYA                 1    20
BUGANDA           UGANDA                1     5
KASSALA           SUDAN                 2    15
SOUTHERN SUDAN    SUDAN                60 +  70 +
SOUTH.BLUE NILE & SUDAN                10    30
ABYEI &           SUDAN                 5 +  20 +
SOUTHERN KORDOFAN&SUDAN                 2 +  10 +
DARFUR            SUDAN                10    35
BEJA              SUDAN                 2    15 +
LADO              SUDAN                 1 -  10 -
LOGONE REGION     CHAD                  2    10
ANJOUAN (NZWANI)  COMOROS              25    40
MOHELI (MWALI)    COMOROS              10    30
ALDABRA ISLANDS   SEYCHELLES            1    15
WESTERN CAMEROON  CAMEROON              5    45 +
SOUTHERN CAMEROON CAMEROON              2    20 +
BAKASSI PENINSULA CAMEROON              5 +  30 +
BIAFRA            NIGERIA               2    25
OGONI             NIGERIA               2    25
HAUSA             NIGERIA               2    10
NIGER DELTA       NIGERIA               5 +  30 +
YORUBA            NIGERIA/BENIN         1     5
DAGBON            GHANA                 2    20
NORTHERN REGIONS  COTE D'IVOIRE         2 -  20
KATANGA           CONGO KINSHASA        2    10
KASSAI            CONGO KINSHASA        2    10
BUNDU DIA KONGO   CONGO KINSHASA        2    10
PRINCIPE          SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE 1    15
BIOKO             EQUATORIAL GUINEA     5    35  
CABINDA           ANGOLA                5 -  30 -
CAPRIVI           NAMIBIA               2    25
REHOBOTH BASTERS  NAMIBIA               1     5
BAROTSELAND       ZAMBIA                1     5
MATABELELAND (MTHWAKAZI) ZIMBABWE       2    10
ORANIA            SOUTH AFRICA          2    10
WESTERN CAPE      SOUTH AFRICA          1    10
KWAZULU/NATAL     SOUTH AFRICA          1     5
VHAVENDA          SOUTH AFRICA          1     2
RODRIGUES ISLAND  MAURITIUS             2    20
AGALEGA ISLAND    MAURITIUS             2    20
TOLIARA           MADAGASCAR            1     5





* There is also the chance of a future merge between Kosovo and Albania.

** A proposal for Turks and Caicos has also been becoming a canadian
 oversea province.(it will probably remains a dream).

*** There is also a chance in the long term for Gibraltar to be 
integrated into Spain.

**** There is also a chance in the long term for the Falkland to be 
integrated into Argentina.

***** There is also the chance of an integration of Mayotte in the 
Comoros (little one for now).

****** There is also a remote chance for Valencia and the Baleares Islands
to join Catalonia as a joint independent country, as for Navarra to 
join the Basque Region to form a united independent country.

******* There is also a proposal to integrate Sikkim and the southern 
Bhutan to Nepal.

******** Although Taiwan is a de facto independent country, recognized 
by many other countries and it is considered, even by the editor himself,
as an  independent country, these statistics are meant to give
a rate of its chances
to be recognized by all the countries, including China, and
integrated into the United Nations.

********* There is also a slim chance for American Samoa to be 
integrated into independent Samoa (former Western Samoa).

\ There are chances of different solutions like two independent 
countries: West Bank and Gaza or for Palestine (or West Bank only)
to be integrated into Jordan in a federation.

/ There is also a strong chance for the Sprska Republic to be 
integrated into Serbia.

: Rio Grande project includes the states of Nuevo Leon, Coahuila and 
Tamaulipas, Southern States includes Chiapas, Yucatan, Tabasco,
Campeche and Quintana Roo

^ Inside these indian states, there are also internal independence 
movements like the ones of Karbi Anglong, Khasi, Achik, Meitei,
Reang, Bodo, Kuki, Kamatapur and Rabha.

- There is also the chance for Campione to be integrated into 
Switerland.

# There are also chances for these territories to be integrated into 
the Russian Federation.

@ There is also the chance of Aland Island to get integrated into 
Sweden.

~ There is also the chance of Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy to 
become independent together with Guadeloupe in a unique country.

" Marquesas Islands ma choose to stay with France if the rest of French Polynesia breaks away,
(good chance), or to be independent alone or within French Polynesia (in both cases
it is a smaller chance).

& There is also a chance for Southern Kordofan, South Blue Nile and for 
Abyei to be integrated into
a future independent country of Southern Sudan