A WORLD IN TROUBLE |
MAXIMILIANO HERRERA HUMAN RIGHTS LINKS
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| Electoral Democracies It ranks all the independent countries in three categories: Electoral Democracy, Pseudo Democracy and Dictatorship according to their electoral system. It also includes a list of the countries without elections. |
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| World Rank It contains a list of all independent countries in the world ranked according to their HDI (Human Development Index) or living standard. It means incomes, political situation, health system, social situation,etc.... The site also includes a link to World Rank in the Territories which includes the same statistics of living standard in the related non-independent territories. |
| New Countries This site shows the possibilities of some territories becoming independent. The statistics includes the short term chances and the long term chances of achieving independence. It also includes another page which shows the statistics of some independent countries to be annexed into another country in the future. |
| Extreme Temperatures Around the World This site has also been created by Maximiliano Herrera. It contains the extreme temperatures recorded in hundreds of different localities around the world. |
INTRODUCTION
The site A World in Trouble ranks all the independent countries according to
the perception of the risk of a coup or a conflict.
This site doesn't consider if a country is democratic or not does it consider any economic
situation,just the risk of overthrowing the chief of the state or entering into a conflict
such as civil war,guerrilla action or war with other country.
The site considers a risk within the immediate future, for example 2-3 years.
In some countries there is a current risk of a coup or an outbreak of a conflict.
In others there are particular situations which can lead toward this situation
in the near future.
Since it is not realistic to make a forecast of a very long term situation, I think
it is logical and appropriate to consider a short period of 2-3 years.
Categories of risk:NONE,VERY LOW,LOW,MEDIUM,HIGH
Last update: 28/06/09
- Honduras: The military coup can open a pandora box in which several leftists governments
of the region are threating to organize a counter coup.
It could also spark clashes amongst the population.
- Gabon: The death of president Bongo opens a dangerous path towards
the succession: his son is believed to take the post, but there could be
others behind willing to take the power.
- Moldova: The mutiny shows a dangerous split between the pro European block,
who wants to join Romania, and the people who votes for the Communist Party, besides the
Russian minority of Transnistria.
- Bangladesh: The army mutiny reveals a dangerous split in the security forces,
which were considered to be united once.
It rises again the risk of a future coup and/or conflict in this troubled country.
- Nepal: There is a growing conflict between the Army Chief and the prime minister
which could lead to a new conflict or even a coup attempt.
- North Korea: Kim's health is sparkling speculations about a possible
power struggle.
COUNTRY RISK OF COUP RISK OF CONFLICTS
AFGHANISTAN MEDIUM GUERRILLA
ALBANIA VERY LOW LOW
ALGERIA LOW TERRORISM
ANDORRA NONE NONE
ANGOLA LOW MEDIUM
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA VERY LOW VERY LOW
ARGENTINA VERY LOW VERY LOW
ARMENIA MEDIUM HIGH
AUSTRALIA NONE NONE
AUSTRIA NONE NONE
AZERBAIJAN MEDIUM MEDIUM
BAHAMAS NONE NONE
BAHRAIN MEDIUM MEDIUM
BANGLADESH HIGH HIGH
BARBADOS NONE NONE
BELARUS LOW MEDIUM
BELGIUM NONE NONE
BELIZE VERY LOW VERY LOW
BENIN LOW LOW
BHUTAN VERY LOW MEDIUM
BOLIVIA HIGH HIGH
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA VERY LOW MEDIUM
BOTSWANA VERY LOW LOW
BRAZIL VERY LOW LOW
BRUNEI VERY LOW VERY LOW
BULGARIA VERY LOW VERY LOW
BURKINA FASO MEDIUM LOW
BURUNDI HIGH HIGH
CAMBODIA MEDIUM HIGH
CAMEROON MEDIUM HIGH
CANADA NONE NONE
CAPE VERDE VERY LOW NONE
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC MEDIUM CIVIL WAR
CHAD HIGH CIVIL WAR
CHILE NONE VERY LOW
CHINA NONE MEDIUM
COLOMBIA VERY LOW GUERRILLA
COMOROS HIGH HIGH
CONGO BRAZZAVILLE MEDIUM HIGH
CONGO KINSHASA MEDIUM GUERRILLA
COSTA RICA NONE NONE
COTE D'IVOIRE HIGH HIGH
CROATIA VERY LOW VERY LOW
CUBA MEDIUM MEDIUM
CYPRUS NONE VERY LOW
CZECH REPUBLIC NONE NONE
DENMARK NONE NONE
DJIBOUTI LOW HIGH
DOMINICA VERY LOW VERY LOW
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC VERY LOW VERY LOW
ECUADOR MEDIUM MEDIUM
EGYPT LOW MEDIUM
EL SALVADOR VERY LOW VERY LOW
EQUATORIAL GUINEA HIGH MEDIUM
ERITREA MEDIUM HIGH
ESTONIA NONE VERY LOW
ETHIOPIA LOW HIGH
FIJI HIGH HIGH
FINLAND NONE NONE
FRANCE NONE VERY LOW
GABON HIGH MEDIUM
GAMBIA HIGH LOW
GEORGIA HIGH HIGH
GERMANY NONE NONE
GHANA LOW MEDIUM
GREECE NONE VERY LOW
GRENADA VERY LOW VERY LOW
GUATEMALA LOW LOW
GUINEA HIGH HIGH
GUINEA BISSAU HIGH HIGH
GUYANA LOW MEDIUM
HAITI MEDIUM HIGH
HONDURAS HIGH MEDIUM
HUNGARY NONE VERY LOW
ICELAND NONE NONE
INDIA VERY LOW GUERRILLA
INDONESIA LOW MEDIUM
IRAN MEDIUM HIGH
IRAQ MEDIUM GUERRILLA
IRELAND NONE NONE
ISRAEL NONE TERRORISM
ITALY NONE NONE
JAMAICA NONE LOW
JAPAN NONE NONE
JORDAN LOW LOW
KAZAKHSTAN LOW LOW
KENYA MEDIUM HIGH
KIRIBATI VERY LOW VERY LOW
KUWAIT LOW LOW
KYRGYZSTAN HIGH HIGH
LAOS VERY LOW GUERRILLA
LATVIA NONE VERY LOW
LEBANON MEDIUM GUERRILLA
LESOTHO MEDIUM LOW
LIBERIA HIGH HIGH
LIBYA LOW VERY LOW
LIECHTENSTEIN NONE NONE
LITHUANIA NONE VERY LOW
LUXEMBOURG NONE NONE
MACEDONIA VERY LOW MEDIUM
MADAGASCAR HIGH HIGH
MALAWI HIGH MEDIUM
MALAYSIA LOW MEDIUM
MALDIVES MEDIUM MEDIUM
MALI LOW HIGH
MALTA NONE NONE
MARSHALL ISLANDS VERY LOW VERY LOW
MAURITANIA HIGH MEDIUM
MAURITIUS VERY LOW VERY LOW
MEXICO VERY LOW LOW
MICRONESIA VERY LOW VERY LOW
MOLDOVA MEDIUM HIGH
MONACO NONE NONE
MONGOLIA LOW LOW
MONTENEGRO VERY LOW LOW
MOROCCO VERY LOW LOW
MOZAMBIQUE LOW MEDIUM
MYANMAR HIGH GUERRILLA
NAMIBIA LOW MEDIUM
NAURU VERY LOW VERY LOW
NEPAL HIGH HIGH
NETHERLANDS NONE NONE
NEW ZEALAND NONE NONE
NICARAGUA LOW MEDIUM
NIGER HIGH GUERRILLA
NIGERIA MEDIUM GUERRILLA
NORTH KOREA HIGH MEDIUM
NORWAY NONE NONE
OMAN LOW LOW
PAKISTAN HIGH GUERRILLA
PALAU VERY LOW VERY LOW
PANAMA VERY LOW NONE
PAPUA NEW GUINEA LOW MEDIUM
PARAGUAY HIGH VERY LOW
PERU VERY LOW GUERRILLA
PHILIPPINES HIGH GUERRILLA
POLAND NONE NONE
PORTUGAL NONE NONE
QATAR LOW LOW
ROMANIA VERY LOW VERY LOW
RUSSIA VERY LOW TERRORISM
RWANDA MEDIUM HIGH
SAINT KITTS AND NEVIS NONE VERY LOW
SAINT LUCIA NONE VERY LOW
SAINT VINCENT /GRENAD. NONE NONE
SAMOA LOW LOW
SAN MARINO NONE NONE
SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE HIGH VERY LOW
SAUDI ARABIA LOW LOW
SENEGAL LOW GUERRILLA
SERBIA LOW MEDIUM
SEYCHELLES MEDIUM LOW
SIERRA LEONE HIGH HIGH
SINGAPORE NONE VERY LOW
SLOVAKIA VERY LOW VERY LOW
SLOVENIA NONE NONE
SOLOMON ISLANDS HIGH HIGH
SOMALIA HIGH CIVIL WAR
SOUTH AFRICA VERY LOW LOW
SOUTH KOREA VERY LOW LOW
SPAIN NONE TERRORISM
SRI LANKA LOW HIGH
SUDAN MEDIUM CIVIL WAR
SURINAME LOW VERY LOW
SWAZILAND MEDIUM MEDIUM
SWEDEN NONE NONE
SWITZERLAND NONE NONE
SYRIA MEDIUM MEDIUM
TAIWAN VERY LOW LOW
TAJIKISTAN MEDIUM MEDIUM
TANZANIA LOW MEDIUM
THAILAND HIGH GUERRILLA
TIMOR LESTE HIGH HIGH
TOGO HIGH HIGH
TONGA MEDIUM HIGH
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO LOW LOW
TUNISIA LOW LOW
TURKEY MEDIUM TERRORISM
TURKMENISTAN HIGH MEDIUM
TUVALU VERY LOW VERY LOW
UGANDA LOW GUERRILLA
UKRAINE MEDIUM HIGH
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES LOW LOW
UNITED KINGDOM NONE NONE
UNITED STATES NONE NONE
URUGUAY VERY LOW NONE
UZBEKISTAN MEDIUM HIGH
VANUATU LOW MEDIUM
VATICAN CITY NONE NONE
VENEZUELA MEDIUM MEDIUM
VIETNAM NONE VERY LOW
YEMEN LOW GUERRILLA
ZAMBIA MEDIUM MEDIUM
ZIMBABWE HIGH HIGH